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There's an important idea I feel is being missed. Something can be true "in distribution" but not true in a "pathwise" sense. That means, over the long run, for

There's an important idea I feel is being missed. Something can be true "in distribution" but not true in a "pathwise" sense. That means, over the long run, for most people, on average x is true. But for specific individual and/or specific time frame it can be very untrue. Point being I can say to you "adopt a growth mindset", you do it, but it doesn't work and life throws you 'a curve ball' again and again. Doesn't mean my hypothesis was wrong, and doesn't mean you didn't follow through properly. We can both be right in this case. All it means is, we should act as if our actions/thoughts count, but accept it as a fundamental property of the universe that they may not 'bear fruit'. All we can do is embrace the chaos^ ^ as in chaotic systems

jib 11y ago
I think that most people would be a lot happier if they saw life as a series of low probability events rather than trying to create a story of accumulation. Life does not accumulate things (luck, good fortune, bad fortune, karma, any other crap that feeds the story of continuity). Life is about maximizing your exposure to positive low probability events, or the probability of them, and minimizing your exposure to negative low probability events, or the probability of them. You're not working hard in work to get a reward, you're working hard to be exposed to more chances of possible rewards. You're not exercise to avoid bad health, you're doing it to lower the chances of a series of low probability diseases. I think this is the same thing you were saying. I think realising that life is a series of low probability discreet events, not a continuum that accumulates based on past events is a real life changer. All you can work on is the process of finding the right events to be exposed to - having feelings about the outcome of those events is irrational and leads to unhappiness.
dingbat 11y ago
hi lord krishna i am a fan > To action alone hast thou a right and never at all to its fruits; let not the fruits of action be thy motive; neither let there be in thee any attachment to inaction

jib 11y ago

I think that most people would be a lot happier if they saw life as a series of low probability events rather than trying to create a story of accumulation. Life does not accumulate things (luck, good fortune, bad fortune, karma, any other crap that feeds the story of continuity). Life is about maximizing your exposure to positive low probability events, or the probability of them, and minimizing your exposure to negative low probability events, or the probability of them. You're not working hard in work to get a reward, you're working hard to be exposed to more chances of possible rewards. You're not exercise to avoid bad health, you're doing it to lower the chances of a series of low probability diseases. I think this is the same thing you were saying. I think realising that life is a series of low probability discreet events, not a continuum that accumulates based on past events is a real life changer. All you can work on is the process of finding the right events to be exposed to - having feelings about the outcome of those events is irrational and leads to unhappiness.

dingbat 11y ago

hi lord krishna i am a fan > To action alone hast thou a right and never at all to its fruits; let not the fruits of action be thy motive; neither let there be in thee any attachment to inaction