Well, if you really want to learn how to think probabilistically in everyday life, I'd recommend Douglas Hubbard's "How to Measure Anything" which contains deta

Well, if you really want to learn how to think probabilistically in everyday life, I'd recommend Douglas Hubbard's "How to Measure Anything" which contains detailed advice for how to calibrate your estimates (so you don't continually over- or underestimate the probability of various events) and how base risk management and strategic decision making on this knowledge. Probably useful for the startup folk here. http://smile.amazon.com/How-Measure-Anything-Intangibles-Business-ebook/dp/B00INUYS2U/ http://smile.amazon.com/How-Measure-Anything-Intangibles-Bus...