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The oil consumption has been steadily increasing for years. For transportation, there is no alternative. Even if Tesla is making headline every day, this is rea
by seren 11y ago
The oil consumption has been steadily increasing for years. For transportation, there is no alternative. Even if Tesla is making headline every day, this is really a marginal contribution that is really meaningless (at least now) in the grand scheme of things. In the best case, it could plateau in 2030 but it won't be cut by half. (Unless someone invent a compact fusion energy device next year)
- diafygi 11y agoAn alternative for transportation is actually starting to happen: self-driving vehicles. Recharging times don't matter when you have a fleet of self-driving electric Uber cars that can phase vehicles in and out of service automatically[1]. Plus, with fleets, you replace normal oil-consuming vehicles at a 2-to-1 rate. It's looking like peak oil will happen sooner than you think. [1]: http://www.govtech.com/fs/perspectives/Ubers-Plan-for-Self-Driving-Cars-Bigger-Than-Its-Taxi-Disruption.html http://www.govtech.com/fs/perspectives/Ubers-Plan-for-Self-D...
- andys627 11y agoCould just be a trend, but walkable neighborhoods are on the rise in the US. Their residents use less oil.
- seren 11y agoThere are about 1 billion vehicles in the world, we are producing roughly 50 millions a year. I am skeptical than, in as soon as 15 years, self driving fleet will have that a massive impact. In some area of the world, like SF and some major city, sure, but as a global trend I am not so optimistic.
- andys627 11y agoAt some point it will run out.