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Precisely. The history of personal computing since the eighties does have something to teach us about "the power of variety". It teaches us that consumers don'
by mechanical_fish 17y ago
Precisely.
The history of personal computing since the eighties does have something to teach us about "the power of variety". It teaches us that consumers don't rate variety very highly compared to consistency, software compatibility and -- above all -- price. In the early 1980s there was a wide variety of microcomputer operating systems and hardware platforms to choose from. Today, we are down to two operating systems, broadly speaking -- Windows and Unix -- and pretty much one PC hardware platform, built around commodity x86 processors and their associated commodity motherboards and peripherals.
Commodity PCs grew to dominate the market because they were a commodity, which is another way of saying that they were essentially all the same. For a while you couldn't even get them in a different color; if you didn't like beige you had to go buy some spray paint and mod your own case. If you bought a PC you knew that it would support a standard monitor and a standard PC mouse and a standard PC keyboard and would run Microsoft Excel if you wanted to pay the standard price for the standard-issue operating system.
The major reason why PC manufacturers proliferated so wildly was price, but that battle is largely over: Twenty-five years of price wars and middleman-elimination, aided by the internet, have done their work, and now literally everybody has their hardware built by Foxconn or some other company within half an hour's bicycle ride of Foxconn, and it all costs roughly the same feature-for-feature. It's just a different world than it used to be.
- dejb 17y ago> It teaches us that consumers don't rate variety very highly You are making the same mistake with regards to competition as communism does. In retrospect it is easy to look back and say what 'consumers' wanted but that ignores the competative pressures that lead to the emergence of the 'winner' solutions. Consumers do not need to be aware of the power of variety to benefit from it, although collectively they do have a great 'variety' of differing needs. Of course the system the won out was the one to fostered the greatest levels of competition within that system, using standards and interoperability to facilitate this. > The major reason why PC manufacturers proliferated so wildly was price, but that battle is largely over: Seriously the era of innovation in computer hardware is over? The whole thing just runs like clockwork now and no further major disruptive forces will change the industry? I'm sure in the 70s you would have predicted that IBM would rule the industry forever.