Or allocate more towards pushing lobbying, technical and business efforts on self-driving cars harder. I don't have anywhere near the expertise to guess at how

Or allocate more towards pushing lobbying, technical and business efforts on self-driving cars harder. I don't have anywhere near the expertise to guess at how long the legislative meat-grinder for self-driving cars will take to hammer out, but an amoral minimax might be to just double down on firing all the drivers, and let them have a few more shekels for a couple years. But they have the money to walk and chew worker-bees, so we'll probably see both. ( This is getting further afield, but. Do we even have a semi-reasonable comparison for a bundle of legal and societal changes involved in self-driving transport? I can't think of one outside of the original introduction of cars. And on the legal side, that was mostly new law, not revising the assumption of human action across criminal, tort, insurance and whatever other categories. The analogous social changes - at first, demonizing pedestrians to get them off streets; later, suburbs, the propaganda tying the car to U.S. American notions of freedom, towns becoming dependent on violations for income, etc. - are somewhat harder to make bets about, but more interesting. There certainly have been bigger changes (I'm guessing, of course, but I don't see auto-autos as a bigger deal than agriculture), but I don't know that legal codes were as complex then, and I know we don't have extensive records on the changes. The social upheaval of ag was worthy of the name 'singularity', which I really don't see self-driving cars as matching.)