I don't think that many people predicted AI by 2000 with high certainty. And in any case, predictions should get more accurate as time goes on and we learn more

I don't think that many people predicted AI by 2000 with high certainty. And in any case, predictions should get more accurate as time goes on and we learn more. "Human level" as in actually as intelligent as a human. An artificial brain just like a biological one, or at least with the same abilities.