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In the spirit of openness, it would be great to see public responses to the downsides of this approach. In particular, Bostrom Ch5.1 argues that the lead proje
by BenjaminTodd 11y ago
In the spirit of openness, it would be great to see public responses to the downsides of this approach.
In particular, Bostrom Ch5.1 argues that the lead project is more likely than not to get a decisive strategic advantage, leading to a winner-takes-all scenario, which would mean attempts to foster a multipolar scenario (i.e. lots of similarly powerful AGIs rather than one) are unlikely to work.
In Ch11 he explores whether multipolar scenarios are likely to be good or bad, and presents many reasons to think they're going to be bad. So promoting the multipolar approach could be both very hard, and bad.