I feel the same, but would put a different "spin" on it. Gwern is still the same bright skeptical individual that you wanted him to be, but his imperfect track

I feel the same, but would put a different "spin" on it. Gwern is still the same bright skeptical individual that you wanted him to be, but his imperfect track record might be as good as one can hope to expect from any expert. Losing some confidence is appropriate if one was overconfident to begin with. But rather than restricting this update to future proclamations from Gwern, possibly I should reconsider my reliance on expert opinion itself, even my own.