How are you estimating how far away AI is so accurately that you can disregard it entirely? The best we can do to predict these things is survey experts, and th

How are you estimating how far away AI is so accurately that you can disregard it entirely? The best we can do to predict these things is survey experts, and the results aren't too comforting: http://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf http://www.nickbostrom.com/papers/survey.pdf >We thus designed a brief questionnaire and distributed it to four groups of experts in 2012/2013. The median estimate of respondents was for a one in two chance that highlevel machine intelligence will be developed around 2040-2050, rising to a nine in ten chance by 2075. Experts expect that systems will move on to superintelligence in less than 30 years thereafter. They estimate the chance is about one in three that this development turns out to be ‘bad’ or ‘extremely bad’ for humanity.