3 ms·
If you look at the graphs, there was a sharp decline from 1993 to 1999, then it has been pretty flat since 1999/2000 with small increases/decreases in some area
by SeanDav 11y ago
If you look at the graphs, there was a sharp decline from 1993 to 1999, then it has been pretty flat since 1999/2000 with small increases/decreases in some areas.
Unless the graphs for mitigating factors show a similar (or mirror) shape, then it is unlikely the reasons cited are valid.
- TTPrograms 11y agoThe lead crime hypothesis has some pretty compelling evidence, including a consistent time-lag for the effect that fits crime rates in a variety of countries and states as legislation went into effect: http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Lead-crime_hypothesis http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Lead-crime_hypothesis
- sghodas 11y agoThere's an interesting (although controversial) correlation between legalized abortion and decline in crime for that time period. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legalized_abortion_and_crime_effect https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legalized_abortion_and_crime_e...
- hga 11y agoFew if any things correlate better with crime than the population of young men. Not that any but a 1st half of the 20th Century progressive would be happy with the possible mechanism you mention.
- DrScump 11y agoThat decline correlates perfectly to the huge increase in gun ownership in 1992-94, as gun purchases got a huge boost in advance of the onset of the Brady Bill and the "assault weapons" ban.
- hga 11y agoI'd want to look at which states went shall issue during that period, or in which did the perception that people were legally carrying a lot changed. It would be past the first burst after Florida did it in 1986 and the "blood in the streets!" and "Dodge City!" predictions failed to come true.