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The overall theory becomes less believable with each "isolated incident." You can dismiss one or two, I guess, but eventually you have to wonder how many more i
by nfnaaron 17y ago
The overall theory becomes less believable with each "isolated incident." You can dismiss one or two, I guess, but eventually you have to wonder how many more isolated incidents there are going to be.
You couldn't have made up a more alarming factoid if you tried. I'm a skeptic (not a "denier"), but when I read this particular prediction I was alarmed. 2035? That's within most peoples' lifetime. 100s of millions of people? Yikes!
After a minute or two of thinking about it, I concluded that it sounds pretty unlikely and they probably either don't really know how to get from current data to melting glaciers and were merely guessing, or they were lying, or they were bumbling.
In general I don't worry about global warming. I believe there is some. I believe humans contribute to some of it. I believe that the scientists and politicians understand almost every little bit of detailed data that they have (isolated incidents notwithstanding). And I believe that their ability to effectively predict broad results based on that data is no better than Popular Mechanics back in 1940 predicting that we'd all have flying cars in 2000 (and where's mine?).