4 ms·

What are you basing your numbers on? From a quick look at the raw data [1], I see the high point in the 1992-95 timeframe as 13.74cm (early 1995). The high poin

What are you basing your numbers on? From a quick look at the raw data [1], I see the high point in the 1992-95 timeframe as 13.74cm (early 1995). The high point in 2012-15 was 21.55cm (mid 2012). This is a difference of 7.81cm. The standard deviation among yearly high points is 5.62cm across all years, so this is not even close to being a significant change. If you look at the top 5 yearly high points starting with the largest, they occurred in 2007 (26.76cm), 2011 (21.79cm), 2012 (21.55cm), 2010 (18.56cm), and 2014 (18.24cm). Note the 2014 value is over 8cm less than the one in 2007. Look, I get that living right at sea level isn't exactly ideal, and these people might need help. But let's not make more of this than there is. EDIT: Also note the big difference in granularity across years. Most complete years had 36-37 measurements. 1992 only had 2 and 1995 had only 31. Thus it's quite possible (even likely) that timeframe's real high point was considerably higher than what is recorded. [1] http://sealevel.colorado.edu/cgi-bin/table.cgi?q=content%2Finteractive-sea-level-time-series-wizard&dlat=7&dlon=171&fit=n&smooth=n&days=60 http://sealevel.colorado.edu/cgi-bin/table.cgi?q=content%2Fi...

ajkjk 11y ago
Ah, I didn't see that there was a table. I was eyeballing it and did a pretty bad job. I meant to go up to that peak a bit after the 94 marker. Not the point really, though. The point is that there's a visibly larger difference in the first few years compared to the last one, if we ignore one giant dip in each, which seems as though they're an external effect. But I really don't have a strong stance about the interpretation except to say that 'you can read it in multiple ways depending on how you do it'.
- kevinskii 11y ago
  This seems to be quite a change from calling gd1 a crackpot simply because his or her interpretation differs from yours.
  - ajkjk 11y ago
    I never did that. I called him a crackpot because his defense of his opinion was insisting that it was true, switching datasets, and avoiding challenges. Those are crackpot behaviors. I invited him to do a better job defending his point. Haven't I explained that enough times by now?

ajkjk 11y ago

Ah, I didn't see that there was a table. I was eyeballing it and did a pretty bad job. I meant to go up to that peak a bit after the 94 marker. Not the point really, though. The point is that there's a visibly larger difference in the first few years compared to the last one, if we ignore one giant dip in each, which seems as though they're an external effect. But I really don't have a strong stance about the interpretation except to say that 'you can read it in multiple ways depending on how you do it'.

kevinskii 11y ago
This seems to be quite a change from calling gd1 a crackpot simply because his or her interpretation differs from yours.
- ajkjk 11y ago
  I never did that. I called him a crackpot because his defense of his opinion was insisting that it was true, switching datasets, and avoiding challenges. Those are crackpot behaviors. I invited him to do a better job defending his point. Haven't I explained that enough times by now?