Yeah, I'm not convinced anymore either. Specifically, I think that the assumption that R < A and A < B are independent events is incorrect, which means that P(R

Yeah, I'm not convinced anymore either. Specifically, I think that the assumption that R < A and A < B are independent events is incorrect, which means that P(R < A < B) = P(R < A)*P(A < B) is not necessarily true. I'll have to think on it more and maybe email Mark about it.