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Surely this is a sketchy way of inferring future likelihood of being killed in a terrorist attack? The number of lives claimed by a single biological weapon cou
by random_moonwalk 11y ago
Surely this is a sketchy way of inferring future likelihood of being killed in a terrorist attack? The number of lives claimed by a single biological weapon could be gigantic, while the number killed by a single car accident, say, is limited to a relatively small number.
- Zigurd 11y ago> The number of lives claimed by a single biological weapon could be gigantic Terrorists have never used WMDs, except for two incidents caused by one group, the Aum cult in Japan. And all that showed was that WMDs are hard to make and hard to use. They would have killed more people with a cheap improvised bomb.
- jpgvm 11y agoIt is at this time we should be thankful that intelligence is inversely proportional to ones desire to blow ones self up.
- nitrogen 11y agoA single meteorite could kill everyone. Why don't we pay more attention to those?
- random_moonwalk 11y agoWe pay a lot of attention to those https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minor_Planet_Center https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minor_Planet_Center. Their paths are also predictable. Anyway, my point wasn't to do with the attention we should give terrorist attacks, rather that in this case in particular, past events are a poor predictor of future ones.