3 ms·
That's an estimate based on engineering analysis and statistics, just like any estimate of reliability.
by InclinedPlane 11y ago
That's an estimate based on engineering analysis and statistics, just like any estimate of reliability.
- lutorm 11y agoIt's not an estimate based on statistics, because there are no statistics for the system you are talking about. It is a prediction based on engineering analysis, and the prediction for space shuttle reliability was quite a bit better than the actual record turned out to be. I want SpaceX to succeed as much as anyone (probably more since I work there), but one should not delude oneself into thinking that predictions are fact.