3 ms·
Slightly off-topic but we are really bad at predicting these "very unlikely events" that actually happen more often than expected. Whenever I hear a similar sto
by sfilipov 11y ago
Slightly off-topic but we are really bad at predicting these "very unlikely events" that actually happen more often than expected. Whenever I hear a similar story, I am reminded of the 3 nuclear reactor disasters (Three Mile Island, Chernobyl, Fukushima), each of which shouldn't have happened in 15000 years.
- iaw 11y agoWhere did you get the 15,000 years number? I have never seen that before and would love it if you could provide more resources.
- sfilipov 11y agoIt is very anecdotal, I believe I read it in an article long time ago around the time the Fukushima disaster happened. It is probably an inaccurate number. The point is, all 3 faults/human errors shouldn't have happened according to statisticians/mathematicians.