That's interesting. You're looking at it from the point of view of the bettor. My concern is just that non-dominant lines of inquiry are already intensely selec

That's interesting. You're looking at it from the point of view of the bettor. My concern is just that non-dominant lines of inquiry are already intensely selected against and this just institutionalizes that bias. But I see your point that the lopsided upside incentivizes contrarians. That's very interesting .. I have to think about that! [Edited as enlightenment dawns ...]