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I disagree with the common advice here that all stock options are worthless. You say the company is late-stage. Assuming it's currently valued in the $100M ran
by alain94040 11y ago
I disagree with the common advice here that all stock options are worthless.
You say the company is late-stage. Assuming it's currently valued in the $100M range or more, I would estimate your upside to about 4X, maximum. Worst case of course is 0. So take the price of your options today, multiply by 4: that's the best case scenario of the one-time bonus you'll be receiving about 3 to 6 years from now.
Does the amount sound interesting to you? How does it compare to a slightly higher salary (that you get every year for many years to come)?
If the valuation of the company is much lower (<$50M), then the potential upside is larger (say 10X), but much less likely (higher risk of being worth nothing). That's when it gets really tricky to decide.
In the end, it's all a function of where you are in life: can you afford the risk, what is your current cash flow, savings, etc.
- dmichulke 11y agoIsn't the option a call that starts at the money? Then 4x the valuation implies much more return than 4x the current option value, namely 3x the strike price. Or am I wrong with this assumption / calculation.
- gesman 11y agoOptions are the PROMISE. And they should be treated accordingly. It's obvious that sales pitch will be about "... us becoming google|facebook|apple" tomorrow. Just not today. Soon. But not today. That's why it's 95% more wise to take cash today with a smile. Pat them on the back. Don't let them pat you on the back for taking less cash today.