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What are the "modest levels of first-world consumption" in the estimates you mention? And how recent are these estimates? There are many factors that likely wil
by brlewis 11y ago
What are the "modest levels of first-world consumption" in the estimates you mention? And how recent are these estimates? There are many factors that likely will contribute to a smaller first-world footprint, e.g. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-will-burn-less-oil-25-years-from-now/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/americans-will-burn-less...
- tremon 11y agohttp://agrpartners.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/AGR-Thought-Piece-Carrying-Capacity1.pdf http://agrpartners.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/AGR-Though... This has a survey of capacity estimates on page 10. I took the median of those, which more or less matched the sources I've encountered over the past year.
- brlewis 11y agoTwo of the estimates have years associated with them: 1994 and 1999. The survey itself was published in 2013 so didn't have the data available that fivethirtyeight cited. I think it's time for researchers to update their capacity estimates.