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Due to already declining birth rates, human population is expected to peak around 11 billion people in approximately 2100.[1] I will grant that the error bars a
by goodcanadian 11y ago
Due to already declining birth rates, human population is expected to peak around 11 billion people in approximately 2100.[1] I will grant that the error bars are quite large, and that there is no certainty that the planet can handle even that number, but it bothers me that there are still people that seem to believe in Malthusian exponential growth.
[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population
- catshirt 11y agoyour source doesn't support your claim at all... > "increase to 11.2 billion in the year 2100" > "may rise to 16 billion by 2100" > "forecasts between 9.3 and 12.6 billion in 2100, and continued growth thereafter" > "World population to hit 11bn in 2100 – with 70% chance of continuous rise"
- goodcanadian 11y agoI was using the middle model. The lower model shows a peak of 8-9 billion in about 2050. The upper model shows continued growth past 2011. Hence, "large error bars." Anyway, I agree it is not the best source, but I didn't want to leave my claim completely without citation. If you investigate a bit, I think you'll find that my claim is consistent with UN estimates.