Here's a mechanism by which initial HN sentiment can be negatively correlated with eventual success: - Great founders describe the MVP accurately, even self-de

Here's a mechanism by which initial HN sentiment can be negatively correlated with eventual success: - Great founders describe the MVP accurately, even self-deprecatingly: "Sleep under my kitchen table." They mention the flaws, because they want the most useful feedback. - Less-confident founders describe the gold-plated, fully-featured potential future version of the product and don't mention the flaws. At least on a superficial read, the great founder's description seems less promising, but they usually end up with a better product. I certainly see this dynamic at work in pitches I've been given.