It has now been 8 years since he wrote this, and I think it's pretty clear that his prediction was wrong. I guess it would have been hard to predict, just three

It has now been 8 years since he wrote this, and I think it's pretty clear that his prediction was wrong. I guess it would have been hard to predict, just three months after the first iPhone (with no third-party apps), that mobile devices would have an even bigger impact than rich web apps.