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"The idea that the expert human mind could be outclassed by a bunch of amateurs getting together is very disturbing, as disturbing as saying the Earth is not th
by jeffdavis 11y ago
"The idea that the expert human mind could be outclassed by a bunch of amateurs getting together is very disturbing, as disturbing as saying the Earth is not the center of the solar system."
The article doesn't quite make the case that that is true.
Crowds predicting an election is no surprise -- crowds determine the outcome. It would be more compelling if the results were accurate a year ahead of time or something.
And for sports betting, the average betting amateur is actually quite well-informed.
I don't think this really applies to science very well. Crowds change opinions all the time, so they can't be right about some unchanging law of nature.