I'd put $100 on it but I'm not sure what the prevailing odds are or where we might place the bet. Are there any legitimate prediction markets still operating w

I'd put $100 on it but I'm not sure what the prevailing odds are or where we might place the bet. Are there any legitimate prediction markets still operating where we might be able to do this? I googled around a little for it and stumbled across Augur (http://www.augur.net/ http://www.augur.net/) but it seems too alpha for such a long term bet right now.