I stand corrected, it seems the Literature nobel prize is very hard to guess correctly, they did find out last year's prize early but it was because of a leak.

I stand corrected, it seems the Literature nobel prize is very hard to guess correctly, they did find out last year's prize early but it was because of a leak. http://www.cbc.ca/news/arts/nobel-prize-in-literature-won-by-french-writer-patrick-modiano-1.2793454 http://www.cbc.ca/news/arts/nobel-prize-in-literature-won-by... "Betting on Modiano to win the Nobel surged in the last week, raising questions about a possible leak. David Williams of bookmaker Ladbrokes said Modiano's odds had shortened from 100-1 a few months ago to 10-1 before the announcement." Edit: I still think a "Startup Stock Exchange" could be fun, maybe based on CrunchBase or something :)