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I think wild market swings have been happening as long as markets have been around. I don't necessarily see the connection between HFT and those swings. Here's
by anonu 11y ago
I think wild market swings have been happening as long as markets have been around. I don't necessarily see the connection between HFT and those swings. Here's a thought: If you assume that swings are going to happen regardless of HFT, then is it possible that HFT actually helps find the real "fair value" level in the market faster than if those player's did not exist?
Another thought on HFT's value to society: I generally agree that HFT does not provide "direct" value. There are clearly "arbitrage" opportunities that HFT firms consistently profit from. However, by definition, those arb opportunities will either be taken by someone else, or enough people will run into grab them such that the arb goes to zero. If there are consistent arb opportunities then something needs to change - namely the regulation which structures the market and allows people to take consistent advantage of it. Thus new regulation is issued and the market, inherently a complex and intricate system, becomes stronger as a result. This is maybe where the value to society lies. and maybe this is an idealistic view of how regulation, society and HFT interact in this case.... ?
- mrchicity 11y agoYou can only eliminate cross-market arbitrage by forcing everyone to trade in one place. Exchange competition lowers costs for everyone so it's not clear that this would improve things. Even on a centralized exchange, near-arbitrage would still exist between very correlated products within it or between similar but not identical products in other places (index futures vs. ETFs, different grades of oil, US treasuries vs. European bomds). Like you said, if enough people do the arbitrage, it converges to zero very quickly. There's little profit in it and everyone reaps the benefits of near-instantaneous accurate pricing.