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Wouldn't it be bad if life forms are found in Mars, according to this? http://waitbutwhy.com/2014/05/fermi-paradox.html http://waitbutwhy.com/2014/05/fermi-para
by leonardzen 11y ago
Wouldn't it be bad if life forms are found in Mars, according to this? http://waitbutwhy.com/2014/05/fermi-paradox.html http://waitbutwhy.com/2014/05/fermi-paradox.html
- NhanH 11y agoSpeaking in Bayesian probability, it's bad if life forms found on Mars are more advanced than human, and good if it's much less advanced, or even very primitive (as it means the Great Filter might be at an earlier stage than us right now). And it won't be the former case, for obvious reason.
- thaumaturgy 11y agoFinding life on Mars would still change one of the polynomials of the Drake Equation, which would shift upward the overall expected probability for intelligent life in the cosmos, which is probably what leonardzen means. But "we don't have enough data yet" still seems like a good answer to the Fermi Paradox anyway.
- hanspeter 11y agoIt would shift upward the overall expected probability for intelligent life at our level. However, since we have no evidence of life beyond our level of intelligence, it also increases the probability that civilizations will not survive long enough to become much more advanced than our civilization.
- hanspeter 11y agoFinding fossilized eukaryote cells on Mars wouldn't be the most glaring clue, that we're definitely going to destroy ourselves once technology is sufficiently advanced.
- Houshalter 11y agoYes. See Nick Bostrom's Why I hope The Search For Extraterrestrial Life Finds Nothing: http://www.nickbostrom.com/extraterrestrial.pdf http://www.nickbostrom.com/extraterrestrial.pdf