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1. The Sharing Economy or Protocols, Protocols, Protocols The sharing economy will be governed by protocols. Decentralization will be standard. Companies like
by on_ 11y ago
1. The Sharing Economy or Protocols, Protocols, Protocols
The sharing economy will be governed by protocols.
Decentralization will be standard. Companies like Ethereum and OpenBazaar as well as the Bitcoin protocol are already being used/leveraged for this. It will be standard.
1. Decentralized authority will be used for most things and will destroy the power distance between individuals and regulators stripping their power. These protocols provide privacy, authority and identity by design and the gov’t can’t do anything about it.
2. Government won’t matter much
This is basically the affect of trrend one. When decentralized protocols become common place there will be no way for government to enforce regulations. Some of this is good and some is bad. On balance it is good. They can still stop people from doing bad things in the physical world, but not govern and collect your communications, interlope into network governance and stop being the world’s sysadmin.
Centralized authorities will prosper servicing things like DNS naming authorities, identity, licensing, communications, financial transactions, legal transaction, wills deeds etc.
2. Everyone will realize uber is a logistics company.
Uber is building teams to for autopilot and self-driving tech right now.
They have a “Math Department” to create algorithims and heuristics for prediction.
They know that ridesharing p2p is something that can only last ~10 years.
They will be the first people to do interstate logsitics and transport with self-driving vehicles. They will be the level 3 or cogent to Amazon’s comcast/verison. By this I mean that Uber will handle 90% of long distance supply chain hubs and Amazon will be the last-mile provider.
- on_ 11y ago3. Wearables will stil suck because the problem they need to be solving is Peripherals The reason wearables suck and why glass failed is because they offer nothing. There is very limited value in a watch that lasts ~12-24 hours and can only take your pulse and display text messages. Google glass is awesome, but there was no way to actually use it. You immeadiately let everyone know you were a google employee or wealthy technologist by wearing it. The way you communicated with it was by shouting at it. Not very discreet at all. A company will emerge with a very low profile set of rings or bracelets that allow you to quickly gesture to your device what you want it to do. Before peripherals move past a keyboard or voice control there is no hope for wearables. Also, battery life is a factor. I also think that glass will be replaced by something like oculus with front facing cameras, intake the information, process it and deliver it. You won’t need to actually look through the glasses but see it on a screen. Night vision will just be cached copies of the previous days imagery processed on a master server using seadragon or similar software.