5 ms·

IANA was allocating at a rate of 2 /8s per month right before they ran out. Recovering an /8 would take staggeringly more effort than it is worth in terms of h

IANA was allocating at a rate of 2 /8s per month right before they ran out. Recovering an /8 would take staggeringly more effort than it is worth in terms of how little it fills existing demand. There is no scheme that will make IPv4 work in the long-term. The mathematics are very simple. You cannot fill demand for exponentially more than 4 billion numbers with a pool of only 4 billion numbers.

rtpg 11y ago
but do we need 4 billion numbers? I thought things like NAT make the global static IP utility less than needing every other person to have an IP address
- WorldMaker 11y ago
  I think a point here is that NAT isn't long term sustainable. We seem to be teetering on the point where NAT Traversal becomes almost impossible to reliably do and the concept of a single internet breaks down, one NAT black box network at a time. Already there are systems that really can only communicate via HTTP to the global internet and then only if they initiate the request. To some people that is a "feature" and the future of firewalls, but I don't want to live on an internet where you have maybe one reliable protocol and a pull-only view of that one protocol at that...
  - jwatte 11y ago
    There's a difference between "pull" and "initiate." NAT traversal is getting better over time, not worse. (Says data from gaming platforms) You only /really/ need more than one IP if you want to expose more than 65000 different services from a single physical place. But, instead of solving this through economics and ingenuity (which we knew could, and had to be done 10 or even 20 years ago) we let device vendors and academics run the show into IPv6. Which doesn't solve the /real/ problem we're /actually/ having: devices change connectivity every 5 minutes and move continents in a few hours. IPv6 just doesn't have an answer.
    - msbarnett 11y ago
      > NAT traversal is getting better over time, not worse. (Says data from gaming platforms) You only /really/ need more than one IP if you want to expose more than 65000 different services from a single physical place There's a big, huge, insurmountable difference between home NAT traversal, with port-forwarding, and Carrier-grade NAT traversal, where fuck you and your ports.
    - WorldMaker 11y ago
      Yes, there's a difference between "pull" and "initiate", but it is academic to my point/hyperbole. Also, yes, UPnP Port Forwarding has made less of a mess in the case of most modern "home" NATs, and this does show up nicely in gaming platforms. UPnP Port Forwarding is a nice kludge. Have you seen how much code and effort is involved in kludges like UPnP Port Forwarding? The game platforms are getting better at it over time mostly because the good platforms can spend a lot of money building the necessary complex software. But we're already leaving behind the case where a single NAT near the edge of the network graph (the "home") is sufficient and are starting to see larger deployments of "carrier-grade NAT". So far as I know there is no equivalent kludge to UPnP Port Forwarding that works reliably on that scale, and building such a kludge seems like a major question of what sort of internet topology we really want. For hyperbole's sake, "carrier-grade NAT" and other similar cases of NATs speaking to NATs that what we're talking about is ultimately a balkanization of the internet, breaking the internet back into sub-networks of various addressability. Even with economic incentives, we'd still be running out of IPv4 addresses for all of the "physical places" in the world that have 65000 devices. More critically, with IPv4 we've already hit scaling problems with the size of routing tables for the physical places that connect to the internet, we can't easily do "per-IP routing" and there aren't economic incentives that will quickly change that. Ultimately, I'm wondering if this is the confusion you are having: IP (v4 or v6) is about the physical routing to the places of the internet. IPv6 doesn't have answers to device connectivity or movement because that's not its job. Logical Device to Physical IP Address mapping is the job of internet layers like DNS and mDNS/Bonjour. NAT is a series of hacks designed to deal with the fact that IPv4 doesn't do as great of a job at physical routing as we would like, now that we have millions of devices connecting to it every day. IPv6 is an actual attempt to fix how the internet does physical routing. It does solve the real problem we are actually having: physical routing on the internet. It solves it much better than NATs wish they could solve it, regardless of the "device vendors and academics" that "ran the show".
- msbarnett 11y ago
  Carrier grade NAT is a disaster for end users, unless you want to do little more than browse the web unreliably. Multiplayer gaming, peer-to-peer anything really, is an unmitigated shitshow under heavy NAT. You definitely do not want carrier grade NAT to become entrenched in North America, like it already is in Asia. And at some point, even if we did want it, we'd run out of numbers for people who want to serve content, and at that point NAT isn't going to do anything for you, and the barrier for entry for new web businesses becomes sky high.
jwatte 11y ago
I think you mean /24?
- km3k 11y ago
  Nope. They've been allocating at least several /24's per day even since getting down to their last /8.
- msbarnett 11y ago
  Only two /24s a month? Demand hasn't been that low in ages.

rtpg 11y ago

but do we need 4 billion numbers? I thought things like NAT make the global static IP utility less than needing every other person to have an IP address

WorldMaker 11y ago
I think a point here is that NAT isn't long term sustainable. We seem to be teetering on the point where NAT Traversal becomes almost impossible to reliably do and the concept of a single internet breaks down, one NAT black box network at a time. Already there are systems that really can only communicate via HTTP to the global internet and then only if they initiate the request. To some people that is a "feature" and the future of firewalls, but I don't want to live on an internet where you have maybe one reliable protocol and a pull-only view of that one protocol at that...
- jwatte 11y ago
  There's a difference between "pull" and "initiate." NAT traversal is getting better over time, not worse. (Says data from gaming platforms) You only /really/ need more than one IP if you want to expose more than 65000 different services from a single physical place. But, instead of solving this through economics and ingenuity (which we knew could, and had to be done 10 or even 20 years ago) we let device vendors and academics run the show into IPv6. Which doesn't solve the /real/ problem we're /actually/ having: devices change connectivity every 5 minutes and move continents in a few hours. IPv6 just doesn't have an answer.
  - msbarnett 11y ago
    > NAT traversal is getting better over time, not worse. (Says data from gaming platforms) You only /really/ need more than one IP if you want to expose more than 65000 different services from a single physical place There's a big, huge, insurmountable difference between home NAT traversal, with port-forwarding, and Carrier-grade NAT traversal, where fuck you and your ports.
  - WorldMaker 11y ago
    Yes, there's a difference between "pull" and "initiate", but it is academic to my point/hyperbole. Also, yes, UPnP Port Forwarding has made less of a mess in the case of most modern "home" NATs, and this does show up nicely in gaming platforms. UPnP Port Forwarding is a nice kludge. Have you seen how much code and effort is involved in kludges like UPnP Port Forwarding? The game platforms are getting better at it over time mostly because the good platforms can spend a lot of money building the necessary complex software. But we're already leaving behind the case where a single NAT near the edge of the network graph (the "home") is sufficient and are starting to see larger deployments of "carrier-grade NAT". So far as I know there is no equivalent kludge to UPnP Port Forwarding that works reliably on that scale, and building such a kludge seems like a major question of what sort of internet topology we really want. For hyperbole's sake, "carrier-grade NAT" and other similar cases of NATs speaking to NATs that what we're talking about is ultimately a balkanization of the internet, breaking the internet back into sub-networks of various addressability. Even with economic incentives, we'd still be running out of IPv4 addresses for all of the "physical places" in the world that have 65000 devices. More critically, with IPv4 we've already hit scaling problems with the size of routing tables for the physical places that connect to the internet, we can't easily do "per-IP routing" and there aren't economic incentives that will quickly change that. Ultimately, I'm wondering if this is the confusion you are having: IP (v4 or v6) is about the physical routing to the places of the internet. IPv6 doesn't have answers to device connectivity or movement because that's not its job. Logical Device to Physical IP Address mapping is the job of internet layers like DNS and mDNS/Bonjour. NAT is a series of hacks designed to deal with the fact that IPv4 doesn't do as great of a job at physical routing as we would like, now that we have millions of devices connecting to it every day. IPv6 is an actual attempt to fix how the internet does physical routing. It does solve the real problem we are actually having: physical routing on the internet. It solves it much better than NATs wish they could solve it, regardless of the "device vendors and academics" that "ran the show".
msbarnett 11y ago
Carrier grade NAT is a disaster for end users, unless you want to do little more than browse the web unreliably. Multiplayer gaming, peer-to-peer anything really, is an unmitigated shitshow under heavy NAT. You definitely do not want carrier grade NAT to become entrenched in North America, like it already is in Asia. And at some point, even if we did want it, we'd run out of numbers for people who want to serve content, and at that point NAT isn't going to do anything for you, and the barrier for entry for new web businesses becomes sky high.

jwatte 11y ago

I think you mean /24?

km3k 11y ago
Nope. They've been allocating at least several /24's per day even since getting down to their last /8.
msbarnett 11y ago
Only two /24s a month? Demand hasn't been that low in ages.