4 ms·
Dan Carlin proposed the theory that Trump understood that only trying to win the GOP primary is a winning strategy for the primary.[0] Basically the primary cau
by yk 11y ago
Dan Carlin proposed the theory that Trump understood that only trying to win the GOP primary is a winning strategy for the primary.[0] Basically the primary caucus is a lot more radical than the general electorate and normal candidates have to run on a just a little bit more conservative platform than the next leading candidate, while preparing to turn around as soon as they have secured the nomination. A candidate like Trump can run on a platform that is much better suited for the primary election, because he is not planning to win the presidential election.
As an outside observer ( I am German), I think that the theory sounds interesting. However, it is possible that he tries a different maneuver to win the general election. His refusal to found a PAC may mean, that he plans to run on an anti-corruption, Washington outsider platform and basically form a analogous coalition as Syriza did in Greece. Syriza's coalition partner is a right wing populist party, they basically formed a anybody but the old boys club coalition. And my guess is, that assuming Hillary wins the Democratic nomination, there are quite a few moderates who find such a candidate attractive, even if he is a reality TV star.
[0] http://www.dancarlin.com/product/common-sense-295-trumping-the-playbook/ http://www.dancarlin.com/product/common-sense-295-trumping-t...
- flycaliguy 11y agoInteresting theory. It's overtaking my currently conspiratorial feeling that he is a Jeb stooge who is hogging to spotlight from anyone who can't afford to fight a billionaire... only to putter out over the winter as everybody embraces the newly "pro-hispanic" Republican establishment.
- xlm1717 11y agoIt's funny how everyone has a conspiracy theory on Trump. The right wants to believe he's employed by Clinton to split the Republican vote, and the left want to believe he's employed by the RNC to safely pander to the racist element of the Republican Party. Jeb definitely looks "pro-Hispanic" compared with Trump. He even learned Spanish!