>I'm assuming just the general business cycle which averages a recession every 6 years or so. That's a rather large assumption IMHO. Prior conditions do not ne

>I'm assuming just the general business cycle which averages a recession every 6 years or so. That's a rather large assumption IMHO. Prior conditions do not necessarily hold true in the future. We went ten years from 1991 to 2001 without a recession. We are due for a recession the same way Yellowstone is due for an eruption. >Plus negative interest rates being the only tool available to the Fed during a new recession. This does worry me.