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Why in the world would they bet on Jeb Bush over Trump or Carson? Look at the actual polls, Bush is doing worse and worse, while Trump and Carson are rising: h

• WildUtah 11y ago
  Republican Party insiders like organizers, lobbyists, congressmen, senators, governors, media personalities, and fund raisers despise Trump and adore Bush. Republican insiders make bank working for defense contractors and Trump was against their Iraq profit center. The donor class is focused like a laser on driving down wages with unauthorized immigration and H1-B that Trump wants to limit. The Republican leadership sees Latin Americans as a voting demographic they can capture 40% of but only by opening the border to unlimited immigration to prove they really love Latinos and Trump threatens both of those hopes. (How Republicans will benefit by increasing the number of people who will vote 60% against them is a mystery to me, but I'm not a Republican.) As the election approaches, the influence of insiders rises and Republicans especially are very obedient to authority figures. Historically, the candidate next in line according to Republican insiders always and without exception wins the nomination, even when he's very unpopular with the base. Therefore, analysts find Trump a very long shot.
• Grue3 11y ago
  Does nobody remember Newt Gingrich anymore? Or Herman Cain? Both of those were leading in primary polls at some point and ended up nowhere.