The thing about futurology is that there are tons of people engaged in "predicting". Most of them are notoriously bad at it. Most tech journalists, for example,

The thing about futurology is that there are tons of people engaged in "predicting". Most of them are notoriously bad at it. Most tech journalists, for example, are so bad that they can't even "predict" the present - their descriptions of cutting-edge technologies used today often have glaring mistakes. So you have to read the right people. Nearly every time I open a book from Stanislav Lem, I am thinking: "My god, was this really written in the 70s?!". That is predictive power.