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> I do, however, consider myself reasonably qualified to opine about the state of AGI research. And, despite more than a decade of trying, I have no idea when t
by skimpycompiler 11y ago
> I do, however, consider myself reasonably qualified to opine about the state of AGI research. And, despite more than a decade of trying, I have no idea when to forecast the emergence of AGI. I would not be shocked if it happened tomorrow, nor would I be surprised if it occurred 300 years from now — or not at all.
I'd be surprised if it comes tomorrow. The leading scientists have little belief that their current methods could be easily adjusted for AGI. All of the leads in AGI currently can't even simulate the problem solving skills of C. elegans. There's not a single AGI project that accomplishes the same skills of a specialized model.
- ClintEhrlich 11y ago>There's not a single [public] AGI project that accomplishes >the same skills of a specialized model.