I think the public is breaking down into 3 groups. 1. The people who like what the Democrats under Obama have been doing. They are likely to support Clinton

I think the public is breaking down into 3 groups. 1. The people who like what the Democrats under Obama have been doing. They are likely to support Clinton or Sanders at this point... or Biden or Gore or Kerry, etc. should one of them get drafted. They won't be interest in Trump, who is attacking their guy. 2. The people who consider themselves Democrat but aren't crazy about what the party has been doing the last 6 years. 3. The people who definitely don't like what the Democrats are doing and are voting Republican to try to change things. Actual conservatives are completely disillusioned with the GOP and people who see them as a way to check the Democrats are also being very let down. But, when you only have two evils, you have to figure out which is the lesser. 4. Establishment Republicans who like the status quo. Group 4 consists of people in office and U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other interests who are milking the system, but can be discounted in terms of actual votes (but not in terms of their very powerful influence). They are backing Jeb Bush and definitely don't like Trump. Group 1 also won't be interested in Trump. Group 2 may be attracted by Trump. Group 3 will probably be attracted by Trump, and like him (like me) even if they (also like me) don't think he'd actually be a good President. Trump, despite his flaws, is a much better cheerleader for the GOP than almost anyone inside the GOP. Group 2 and 3 are most of the country. If you don't, there is no good alternative because the Republicans have pretty much pre-emptively surrendered on everything and it's clear the party honchos like the establishment guy (Bush). So who can you look to? Trump plays the media like a fiddle, and he's naturally attracting most of the attention, but Carson, another non-politician is #2 in the polls. Fiorina is rising quickly as well. No one likes the GOP right now.