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I'm simply extrapolating current trends. Extrapolating current trends doesn't work in the face of exponential mumbo jumbo. Who would have expected training a
by seiji 11y ago
I'm simply extrapolating current trends.
Extrapolating current trends doesn't work in the face of exponential mumbo jumbo.
Who would have expected training a character-by-character network could produce reasonable output? http://karpathy.github.io/2015/05/21/rnn-effectiveness/ http://karpathy.github.io/2015/05/21/rnn-effectiveness/
Sure, there's no "understanding" or "consciousness" behind the output, but purely statistically, it generates something readable by humans.
Also, let's not forget scale. A human brain has between 100 and 200 trillion synapses connecting ~100 billion neurons to make consciousness work. Our toy neural nets so far aren't anywhere near those levels.
- crazypyro 11y agoI think you are basically arguing the same point I am (current trends wouldn't approach human intelligence without exponential growth), except you are taking the optimist road and I'm taking the pessimistic road. I guess we will just have to wait and see!