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That assumes that the automation trends of the next 100 years are going to look anything at all like the automation trends of the last 100 years. I don't think
by dionidium 11y ago
That assumes that the automation trends of the next 100 years are going to look anything at all like the automation trends of the last 100 years. I don't think that's likely due to pretty obvious technological multipliers. Progress isn't linear.
Additionally, I think if you spend much time around the working classes, even today, you'll find that they're living in a world that's leaving them behind in a way that simply wasn't true even 30 years ago.
- dionidium 11y agoAlso, "most people are still working" is increasingly less true: * http://www.forbes.com/sites/toddganos/2012/11/03/what-is-really-happening-with-employment/ http://www.forbes.com/sites/toddganos/2012/11/03/what-is-rea...
- harryh 11y agoA significantly greater percentage of the working age population is working at a job today than 85 years ago.
- dionidium 11y agoYes, that's true, but that's almost certainly because more women work now than ever did before. That's a one-time (enormous) increase, but there's no reason to believe it's an indication of a longer-term trend. In fact, the data show otherwise. You can play around with the data here: * http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS12300000 http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS12300000
- harryh 11y agoI am unmoved by the relatively tiny short term movements you are referring to. Basically all you have shown is that we had a relatively large recession in 2007-08.