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7) The mobile/wireless/handheld market is still at least 5 years out. Nope, it was 3 years out. iPhone came out in 2007. Pretty easy to calculate this one.

by DKnoll 11y ago

7) The mobile/wireless/handheld market is still at least 5 years out. Nope, it was 3 years out. iPhone came out in 2007. Pretty easy to calculate this one. Score: 0.6 Well, when he made the prediction the smartphone market was already there, it just didn't appeal to consumers. The year of his prediction the Treo 650 was released which I would argue was the first fully-fledged smartphone (that I know of, anyway) similar to those we use today. There were also earlier models of the Treo lacking mobile data. Kyocera made some similar devices as well.

sampo 11y ago
> Treo 650 was released which I would argue was the first fully-fledged smartphone Or Nokia Commumicators from 1996 onwards. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nokia_Communicator https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nokia_Communicator
- DKnoll 11y ago
  That's another good example, although it only had a WAP browser until 2004 as far as I can tell.
  - sampo 11y ago
    It had a web browser already in the year 1996 model.
    - DKnoll 11y ago
      Yeah, a WAP browser.
      - sampo 11y ago
        No, not just a wap browser, a web browser.