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There's a contextual cue that's missing between the two, but a strong hint is in the, "Growth that can never translate into long-term positive cash flow...", st
by sbuttgereit 11y ago
There's a contextual cue that's missing between the two, but a strong hint is in the, "Growth that can never translate into long-term positive cash flow...", statement. That context is growth for what duration and what investing purpose.
If I'm investing into a business for the longer haul, like a pension fund might or maybe looking at a company to take a senior position in and stay in a job for years and years, etc. the viability of the business as a business becomes more important than if I'm investing for an exit 2-5 years down the road. If I'm a VC or similar looking for a relatively quick turnaround, in short two to five year window the company might become recognizable enough or have a popular technology etc. that the long term viability of the business qua business becomes less important than does who might want it for reasons other than current revenue or profitability.
Once you get the context, the quotes aren't so much contradictory as much as referring simply to different goals.
- Retric 11y agoAn interesting counter point, VC's as an industry average significantly lower ROI than the boring old S&P 500. One way to look at the VC industry is to realize VC's can make millions even if there portfolios have negative ROI. What they need is to manage lot's of money and being in on the ground floor of the Next Twitter buy's lot's of credibility. In that context, a company that reaches 50 billion in 30 years is far less valuable to a VC than a company that hit's 10 billion in 3 years and then goes bust in 10 years.
- dylanjermiah 11y agoThe VC industry, like many others, follows the power law. The top ~5-10 firms(Benchmark, Sequoia, A16Z etc) will realise 95%+ of the returns for the entire industry. If 'they'don't at least return the fund, and just coast on management fees, 'they' will never be able to raise another one.