Both are right: the two camps posit completely different things. Halvers stipulate a single experiment. Thirders stipulate infinite experiments. It is pretty

Both are right: the two camps posit completely different things. Halvers stipulate a single experiment. Thirders stipulate infinite experiments. It is pretty straightforward math to show these are not inconsistent, and there are even options in between. https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/41208/the-sleeping-beauty-paradox/169582#169582 https://stats.stackexchange.com/questions/41208/the-sleeping...