This is basically just asserting SSA. One problem with the halfer claim is that if you learn it is the first awakening, you then place much more probability on

This is basically just asserting SSA. One problem with the halfer claim is that if you learn it is the first awakening, you then place much more probability on it landing heads (basic Bayes theorem application), even when the coin is yet to be flipped. How would you resolve that?