4 ms·
I always thought that the problem statement for rfs1 is excellent - far more insightful than other rfs statements and hints. Perhaps this is because you've spen
by coffeemug 17y ago
I always thought that the problem statement for rfs1 is excellent - far more insightful than other rfs statements and hints. Perhaps this is because you've spent more time thinking about the problem.
This is an incredibly interesting problem I've thought a lot about, so I'll say the following despite the danger of turning this into discussion about rfs1. Since I first read it, I found myself disagreeing with the following statement:
We think they will mostly die, because we think we know what will replace them, and it is too far from their current model for them to reach it in time.
I think one of the fundamental questions is what type of content is valuable today (compared to what type of content was valuable two hundred years ago). Back when the newspaper business started, news were extremely desirable and difficult to get (and therefore valuable). Someone actually had to travel to the front lines, record the news, and then break it faster than everyone else in order to make money. The cultural artifact of this remains today - newspapers are still called newspapers, and when you turn on CNN you often see the term breaking news (despite the fact that every other channel is "breaking" the news as well). But this model has almost no differentiating value today - real-time publishing technology is so cheap that anyone can break news, and therefore no one wants to pay for it. News is a cheap commodity, not unlike orange juice.
Today we have an opposite problem - there is an exponential explosion of content, and people are willing to pay a lot of money for services that filter rare, excellent, original content from the rest of the noise (I don't count digg and reddit because they do a very poor job at finding excellent content). People are willing to pay for excellent writers, balanced and insightful opinion pieces, and articles about current events that actually teach us something, rather than tell us what happened. Some "traditional" publications have already figured this out - Economist, New York Times, and Wall Street Journal (although the future of the latter is in question precisely because of potential for declining quality). They didn't completely embrace this model and don't take nearly full advantage of information technology, but they're on the right track - they accept great guest authors, provide valuable and insightful opinion pieces, and give us articles that teach us things. In exchange, their customers have consistently payed up while other publishers have seen a steady loss of readership.
The trick here is branding - Economist has a world class brand that's recognized for their valuable content. Once they get around to using modern technology to take this model to its logical extreme, there is no stopping them. I suppose a startup could do it first if it figures out a good way to quickly build a brand (which shouldn't be hard, considering how little good content is out there and how many people complain about it), but fundamentally there is nothing stopping Economist from doing this - they're already in a perfect position to do it. All they need a little bit of technology (this should be easy), and a bit of a psychological shift in their culture. They're already on the right track - the solution is definitely not too far from their current model.
- rms 17y agoSome good thoughts here, but I don't think branding is the hard part. You can build a brand from nothing with consistent, high quality journalism. See this article on Politico: http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2009/08/wolff200908 http://www.vanityfair.com/politics/features/2009/08/wolff200... Also see Arrington on the New New York Times http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/07/30/what-if-the-new-new-york-times/ http://www.techcrunch.com/2009/07/30/what-if-the-new-new-yor....
- coffeemug 17y agoI don't think branding is the hard part either, but it does take some non-trivial amount of time to build up a brand that becomes a common household name. I was merely pointing out that some of the existing content publishers aren't that far away from figuring it out, and they have excellent existing brands on their side. Interestingly, old publishing technology (delivering a mass-produced hard copy into people's hands with no way to electronically communicate a typeset soft copy) essentially acted as an anti-trust barrier for newspaper publishers - having a national newspaper monopoly was not feasible (unless a magnate would buy up every local newspaper in the country). Today there is no such limitation - there's no reason for multiple newspaper publishers to exist, in the same way there is no reason for multiple video streaming sites to exist - YouTube can take it all. I don't think we can call this a solved problem until there's a YouTube for news content. I can't wait for a startup (or for one of the existing publishers) to establish an infrastructure compelling enough for all of the best writers from all newspapers to switch to it (in addition to a huge number of really good guest authors who aren't professional journalists). It drives me crazy that the NYT is sitting on an excellent brand and a perfect position to do it, and they're basically doing nothing about it. They hire great journalists, and provide a medium for great guest authors, but they just won't take the leap and take this to it's logical extreme. When this happens, the poor excuse for good journalism we call "news" can finally die off and we'll be left to consume really good, valuable content.
- roundsquare 17y agoWhen this happens, the poor excuse for good journalism we call "news" can finally die off and we'll be left to consume really good, valuable content. I guess I'm drifting a little more off topic, but oh well. Do you think there is potential for harm in a model where straight news isn't presented? One of the advantages of instant news is that there is little time for someone to weave their own views into what they write[1]. Despite how much I enjoy The Economist, its impossible to call their writing unbiased. [1] I suppose its possible to take the opposite view on this. A responsible journalist will try to keep their views out of the article, but that is difficult and takes time, so their instant writing will be full of personal views. I guess it depends on how opinionated the journalist is on the news they are reporting and how unbiased they want to be.