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Jonathan Chait, The New Republic:¹ “According to the Congressional Budget Office, the Senate bill would reduce the deficit by more than one hundred billion doll
by sethg 17y ago
Jonathan Chait, The New Republic:¹ “According to the Congressional Budget Office, the Senate bill would reduce the deficit by more than one hundred billion dollars over the next decade. Some critics have asserted that the savings are an illusion produced by phasing in the higher taxes more quickly than the benefits, but this is incorrect. At no point do the costs exceed the savings. Indeed, the savings accelerate more quickly over the long run—CBO calculates² that reform will save on the order of a trillion dollars in its second ten years.”
Chait also notes that the bill contains a number of experiments in cost control which the CBO does not credit with any savings in its budget estimates, because we don’t really know yet how effective those experiments will be.
¹ http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/just-noise?page=0,2 http://www.tnr.com/article/politics/just-noise?page=0,2
² [link currently broken] http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/108xx/doc10868/12-19-Reid_Letter_Managers.pdf http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/108xx/doc10868/12-19-Reid_Letter_...
- yummyfajitas 17y agoThe CBO numbers assume the mandatory spending cuts will not be repealed (since they are required by law to score the bill as written). Such mandatory spending cuts in previous bills tend to be repealed periodically. Additionally, the CBO also does not account properly for the fact that when you lower the marginal cost of additional medicine, medical consumption increases. This bill bans high deductible insurance , even though high deductible insurance is the only tried and true method for reigning in medical spending.