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So someone like Lazarus Long has a (very small) chance to exist. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lazarus_Long https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lazarus_Long
by chiph 11y ago
So someone like Lazarus Long has a (very small) chance to exist.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lazarus_Long https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lazarus_Long
- schoen 11y agoWell, the formula is defined for a probability of living to any age -- it gives some positive probability no matter what you put in. But the probability of living to age 130 under this formula is already so low as to be hard to visualize. I think this formula is a bit off at the high end because I evaluated it for 120 -- an age that at least one person has lived to -- and also got a probability suggesting that this would never have happened in human history. But it seems like the formula is still pretty close for almost all of the population.