8 ms·

One of those two things.

• big_co 11y ago
  The former.
• static_noise 11y ago
  One of them will be a rich master trader.
  • smegel 11y ago
    The other will have his hand cut by a falling knife. Oops, did I just take sides?
    • UK-AL 11y ago
      Over a long enough timeline, the stocks will probably recover. Buying stocks will probably lose short term. Probably gain long term. Over a long enough timeline shares have always gained.
      • rihegher 11y ago
        "Over a long enough timeout shares have always gained" Not so sure if you take inflation and Survival bias into consideration https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias#In_finance_and_economics https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias#In_finance_a...
        • UK-AL 11y ago
          If you follow an index, that doesn't cause an issue. You are also forgetting stocks also pay dividends, so it doesn't have go up either.
        • phyalow 11y ago
          "On a long enough timeline the survival rate for everyone drops to 0."
      • jeffreyrogers 11y ago
        > Over a long enough timeline shares have always gained. Except in Germany and Japan after WWII
• danieltillett 11y ago
  Actually you would think this would be true, but because of the cost of holding a position you can lose money if the market stays flat (not likely given the current VIX).
  • seekingcharlie 11y ago
    It depends on your timeline.
    • danieltillett 11y ago
      Doesn’t everything :) Volatility can make even a bad decision right if you can wait, but a flat market will turn all trades bad.
      • eru 11y ago
        > Volatility can make even a bad decision right if you can wait, but a flat market will turn all trades bad. Just write options..
        • danieltillett 11y ago
          Yes the old strategy of picking up pennies from in front of the steam roller. All goes well until you get attacked by a black swan :)
          • eru 11y ago
            Write options that are barely out of the money, buy options that are way out of the money. That'll limit the size of the pennies you pick up, but can also limit the size of the bulldozer.
      • Marazan 11y ago
        Dividends say otherwise.
• dnautics 11y ago
  "Also, I think the market crash is starting. Im making one last trade (altera) which should go up 10% and then I am shorting sales force." - Me, to my father, five days ago. The altera trade is not going well, so far... I may not have picked the right stock to ride the wave with.
  • pjc50 11y ago
    What on earth made you think that Altera were going to be an exception here?
    • MichaelApproved 11y ago
      I don't think OP meant it would be an exception. I think OP meant that he was going in for one more trade before the entire market goes down.
    • trsohmers 11y ago
      Intel announced back in June that they were acquiring Altera for $54 a share, while the stock is currently at $48.17
  • mcv 11y ago
    I recently decided to hold on to my stock (Netflix, Adobe and Philips) for a while, since advice was still mostly positive. I guess I should check how that's going. Edit: I did. Fuck. Though in all honesty, I don't see why a correction in China would seriously hurt the profits of Netflix. Maybe I should buy more.
    • noir_lord 11y ago
      I could see Netflix doing better in a recession, a few bucks a month for the entertainment it provides vs the cost of going to the cinema (two good cinema tickets here costs ~4 months netflix subscription).
      • patrickk 11y ago
• deleted 11y ago
  [deleted]